Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.498270 0.571238 0.650451 0.742738 0.847206 0.961697 1.096586
2025-02-16 0.364931 0.458501 0.568882 0.708318 0.879357 1.081894 1.339473
2025-02-23 0.277883 0.380225 0.510603 0.687982 0.922007 1.219078 1.623494
2025-03-02 0.216779 0.321333 0.464434 0.672943 0.967016 1.364615 1.940081
2025-03-09 0.176742 0.282238 0.436530 0.675943 1.034720 1.548194 2.333285
2025-03-16 0.142688 0.244543 0.403134 0.664160 1.078008 1.702196 2.705772
2025-03-23 0.121518 0.222307 0.388530 0.677232 1.158934 1.920554 3.201390
2025-03-30 0.100737 0.196297 0.362859 0.667410 1.200783 2.082466 3.629064
2025-04-06 0.086992 0.179778 0.350014 0.676375 1.273866 2.302333 4.176610
2025-04-13 0.072267 0.158301 0.324335 0.657758 1.295127 2.436106 4.593380
2025-04-20 0.064877 0.149784 0.321257 0.680184 1.393157 2.714492 5.295032
2025-04-27 0.059239 0.143740 0.321857 0.709467 1.507482 3.034768 6.108222
2025-05-04 0.051939 0.132744 0.310822 0.714256 1.576031 3.280625 6.817416
2025-05-11 0.045205 0.121634 0.297622 0.712376 1.630787 3.506550 7.515456
2025-05-18 0.039615 0.112071 0.286167 0.712398 1.689421 3.746978 8.270267
2025-05-25 0.034708 0.103147 0.274584 0.710171 1.742649 3.982236 9.041121
2025-06-01 0.031255 0.097314 0.269405 0.722133 1.829311 4.297842 10.015827
2025-06-08 0.027352 0.089323 0.257349 0.715272 1.871103 4.520404 10.813921
2025-06-15 0.025037 0.085415 0.255213 0.733062 1.974182 4.890857 11.978538
2025-06-22 0.021992 0.078563 0.243861 0.724910 2.012067 5.116175 12.838281
2025-06-29 0.020017 0.074631 0.239961 0.736198 2.100734 5.470180 14.033484
2025-07-06 0.017331 0.067667 0.225959 0.717052 2.107330 5.627708 14.779645
2025-07-13 0.016229 0.065906 0.227259 0.742047 2.235591 6.098105 16.331886